I guess you may be right about those Championship games, but I always look at games on the moneyline FIRST. The spread is actually like a RL in baseball. I find it odd that more people dont bet ML's in football and basketball, esp. professional. I usually put 30-35% of a wager sometimes more on moneylines, but in college sports it's a little different, in bowl games I bet dog ML's ONLY, reg. season it varies.
I'm pretty sure a lot of the books made $$ on parlays in those games, it just seems like more people would have $$ on OSU and TB on the ML versus %hold than the other way around.
I agree with the oddsmakers not being as sharp on quite a few college lines. I have done really well on BigXII games, on the rest of the country my win% is about 3.5% lower. I would imagine the reason is much the same, in pro sports the teams play each other over and over again, in college some matchups occur once every two decades or more and the personell is often untested and erratic (18-20 year olds) and a lot of the qualitative info comes out AFTER the lines are out, and a lot of it the oddsmaker never hears about. A lot of this is why there are much bigger line moves in college games, in pro sports I've seen 70% of the public on a team and the line is moved down half a point. They just trust their numbers more in a lot of the pro games, IMO.
Does anyone have some thoughts on NEB?
Lines that look off:
UT -7.5 over NEB (need more info on NEB)
UT +4 over OU (too big of a line swing f/ last year, UT is better, OU is worse than last year, dog covers at a high % in this series, I know, I know, but IMO should be at pick. UT is looking really good, Chance Mock is not new to the plays, he can run, and they are opening up more of the playbook--I hope they do this in games tho'. WR pos is STACKED!! STACKED!! STACKED!! The injury to the FR. monster at TE hurts, I'll report on UT's defense soon, I'd appreciate any info on OU from the really good BIGXII cappers here)
